Are There Two Broadband Markets?

In a recent survey of 8,000 broadband customers nationwide, Parks Associates found that FWA cellular wireless customers feel better about the price they pay for broadband than subscribers of other technologies.

The survey asked broadband customers to react to the following statement: “I receive Internet service at a fair cost / good price”. The response by technology was as follows:

  • 61% of FWA cellular customers reacted positively to the question.
  • 51% of fiber customers feel they are paying a fair price.
  • 40% of DSL customers responded positively.
  • Only 35% of cable customers think they are paying a fair price.

These responses are measuring two things – the way customers feel about broadband performance of each technology combined with how they feel about the price.

These survey results have to be troubling to cable companies. Cable companies have been raising rates regularly for years. For example, Comcast already has rates far higher than FWA, and yet the company still raised rates by $3 in December 2023. There is no mystery why customers like FWA pricing more than cable company pricing. Comcast has a list price of $86 for a 200/5 Mbps broadband connection, and most customers also are charged $15 for a modem. This contrasts with Verizon FWA, which has a list price of $60 for speeds between 100 – 300 Mbps, with addition savings for using autopay or for bundling with Verizon cellular. T-Mobile FWA has a list price of $65 with a small discount for autopay.

However, the list price isn’t everything since a lot of customers are paying less than list price. Verizon had a recent promotion for FWA home broadband at $40 for new customers and $25 for existing cellular customers. T-Mobile has been advertising a price for home broadband for $30 for existing T-Mobile cellular customers. Comcast also has heavily discounted special prices. There are current web deals for buying the 200/5 Mbps plan for $30 ($45 with the modem). But every customer buying a low-price Comcast product knows the prices will eventually skyrocket when the promotion is over.

The customer reactions to fiber are more puzzling where 50% of customers don’t think they are paying a fair price. Many fiber providers have prices that aren’t that different than FWA wireless. AT&T sells 300 Mbps fiber for $65. CenturyLink sells 500 Mbps fiber for $50. Frontier sells 500 Mbps for $50.

My consulting firm conducts surveys, and we’ve been seeing similar results. I’ve recently come to the conclusion that there are two different broadband markets in the country – a market of customers who care about price and one where customers care about speed.

There has been a huge migration of customers upgrading to gigabit broadband. OpenVault reported that at the end of 2023 that one-third of all broadband customers are now subscribed to gigabit speeds. These are clearly the customers who care about speed, and these households are likely not interested in the slower speeds being delivered by FWA cellular wireless.

Eight million customers have elected to buy FWA home broadband that delivers top speeds between 100 and 300 Mbps. Some of these customers live in rural areas where this is the only fast option, but many of these customers are in towns and cities and are switching from cable companies and fiber ISPs. These are the customers for whom price is more important that broadband speeds. These customers find the FWA speeds to be good enough, at least in relation to the price they pay.

This creates a real dilemma for cable companies. They have lowered the promotional prices to the lowest level I’ve seen in many years to compete with FWA prices. At the same time, cable companies are seeing many customers migrate to the fastest speeds and higher-priced products – but these customers hate the prices. It’s easy to understand customer dissatisfaction when some customers are getting promotional prices at $30 while many other customers are pay far more than $100. It’s virtually impossible for a cable company to satisfy both sets of customers. The attempt to deal with the two drastically different market segments might be a major part of the reason why Comcast and Charter have stopped growing.

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